Matehematics A4 in English - Probability Theory
2018 Spring
Andras Vetier

Requirements

Interactive Electonical Probability Text Book 

Suggested textbooks in probability

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Week 01, 2018 02 06 and 08
Files we used in class:
2018-02-06___01_Fair_die.xlsx
2018-02-06___02_law_of_large_numbers.xlsx
2018-02-08___01_law_of_large_numbers.xlsx
2018-02-08___02_random_number.xlsx
2018-02-08___03_trangle_1.xlsx
2018-02-08___04_trangle_2.xlsx
2018-02-08___05_range.xlsx
Homework for next Tuesday:
   - Read and lear Chapters 1-5 of  Part-I, Probability of events
   - Make a "proof with Excel" for the statement in 2018-02-08___04_trangle_2.xlsx
     similar to what we did in class in 2018-02-08___03_trangle_1.xlsx
   - Extra problem for the challenged students:
   - Make a "proof with Excel" for the statement in 2018-02-08___05_range.xlsx, as well
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Week 02, 2018 02 13 and 15
Files we used in class:
2018-02-13___01_encounter_problem.xlsx
2018-02-15___01_encounter_problem.xlsx
Homework for next Tuesday:
   - Read and lear Chapters 6 and 7 of  Part-I, Probability of events
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Week 03, 2018 02 20 and 22
Files we used in class:
2018-02-20___01_RND2_less_3_times_RND1.xlsx
2018-02-20___02_RND2_less_z_times_RND1.xlsx
2018-02-22___01_boxes_under-the_conditions_on_the_colours.xlsx
Homework for next Tuesday:
   - Read and lear Chapter 8 of  Part-I, Probability of events
   - Solve the following problem:
Toss a die, the number you get is denoted by X. Then put 10 balls in a box so that X of them are red, the others are white. Chose a ball from the box at random.
Quetions:
     1. What is the probability that the ball you chose is red?
     2. On condition that that the ball you chose is red what is the probability that X is greater than 4?
In order to claculate the numerical alnswer you may use Excel.
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Week 04, 2018 02 27 and 28
Read and learn during the next 7 days:
   - Chapter 9 of  Part-I, Probability of events
   - Chapters 1-4 of  Part-II, Discrete distributions
Sorry, but - because of the backbone illness of the teacher - lessons are cancelled for 2-3 weeks.
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Week 05, 2018 March 6 and 8
Read and learn during the next 7 days:
   - Chapters 5, 6 and 9 of  Part-II, Discrete distributions (you may skip chapters 7 and 8)
Thank you for your efforts and cooperation.
When I recover, I will offer extra consultation hours.
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Week 06, 2018 March 13  (March 15 is a holiday)
Read and learn during the next 7 days:
   - Chapters 10,13 and 14 of  Part-II, Discrete distributions (you may skip chapters 11 and 12)
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Week 07, 2018 March 20 and 22
Read and learn during the next 7 days:
   - Chapters 15, 16, 17 and 18 of  Part-II, Discrete distributions
Good news: Our lessons from 27 March will be held again.
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Possible consultations:
29 March, Thursday after our class until 7 pm
12 April,   Thursday after our class until 7 pm
You may suggest other dates and times. With a positive probaility, I am available that time, too.
On the consultations, I am ready to
     - answer questions,
     - explain topics which were difficult to learn from the textbook,
     - solve problems,
     - and so on
A consultation on an offered day will be held if at least one student asks for it in email to
vetier@math.bme.hu    with the subject     "Asking for consultation on  (specify here the date, please)"
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Week 08, 2018 March 27 and 29
Files we used in class
2018-03-29___01_RND1_times_RND2.xlsx
2018-03-29___01_RND2_divided_by_RND1.xlsx
Read and learn
   - Chapters 7 and 11 of  Part-III, Continuous distributions
             7 Distributions of some functions of random numbers
           11 Exponential distribution
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Week 09, 2018 April 10 and 12
Files we used in class
2018-04-10__01_Normal_distribution.xlsx
2018-04-12__01_Normal_random_variable_simulated.xlsx
2018-04-12__02_Exponential_variable_simulated.xlsx
2018-04-12__03_AVE_AVE-DEV_VAR_ST-DEV.xlsx
2018-04-12__04_AVE_AVE-DEV_VAR_ST-DEV__for__RANDOM_VARAIBLES.xlsx
Read and learn
   - Chapters 13, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19 of  Part-III, Continuous distributions    (skip Chapter 14)

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Week 10, 2018 April 17 and 19
Files we used in class
2018-04-17__01_Small_test.xlsx
2018-04-17__02_Law_of_Large_Numbers.xlsx
2018-04-19__01_Normal.xlsx
Read and learn everything we have taken from Parts 1, 2, 3.

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Files we used on the consultation held in the afternoon of 25 April :
2018-04-25___01.xlsx
2018-04-25___02.xlsx
2018-04-25___03.xlsx

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Week 12, 2018 May 05
2018-05-03___01_Height_Weight.xlsx
2018-05-03___02_distribution_of_(X,Y).xlsx
2018-05-03___03_smallest_and_second_smallest.xlsx
Read and learn
   - Chapters 1, 2, 3 of  Part-IV, Two-dimensional continuous distributions

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Midterm Test:
     on our Thursday lesson on 26 April
     Material of the test: What we learn before the test

Consultations:
     17 April, Tuesday, before our lesson, from 3:15 to 4:00 pm in H502
     24 April, Tuesday, before our lesson, from 3:15 to 4:00 pm in H502
                                   (I am sorry, after the class I have only a few minutes!)

     25 April, Wednesday, from 12:00 to 1:00pm in H502
      25 April, Wednesday, from   4:00 to 5:00pm in H502
     14 May, Monday, from 12:15 to 1:15pm in QBF09
Repeated Tests and Pre- Exams:
     17 May, Thursday, on our lesson
     23 May, Wednesday 8am  E1C
     A student may take a pre-exam (or regular exam) only if he/she has passed the midterm test (or a repeated test)

Regular Exams:
     4, 11, 18, 25 June (all are Mondays) at 10:00am  E1C

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Results

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Before the Monday exams, a consultation is possible in H502 (in most cases) at 3pm Thursday,
if students write an email until Wednesday noon to
vetier@math.bme.hu   with subject "asking for consultation".

The 21 June consultation will be held
by Tamás (=Tom) Kói at 5pm in H503a