Limit theorems and large deviation theorems of probability
2026 Spring
- Instructor: Balazs Rath
- Prof. Balint Toth's lecture notes on limit theorems:
CLICK
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- Prof. Balint Toth's lecture notes on large deviations (in Hungarian):
CLICK
My hand-written, scanned lecture notes:
- February 14 (large deviation thm for Binomial r.v.'s,
relative entropy, crude Stirling formula):
PDF (pages 0-7)
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- February 14 (exponential Chebyshev's inequality, logarithmic
moment generating function, Legendre transform):
PDF (pages 7-13)
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- February 25 (large dev. thm. for normal distribution,
exponentially tilted distributions, convexity of log.mom.gen
function):
PDF (pages 14-19, in 2026, we skipped page
the proof on 19 (Z is analytic) )
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- February 25 (convolution and tilting, Cramer's theorem, best
strategy is to tilt optimally):
PDF (pages 19-25)
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- March 4 (heuristics related to Cramer's thm, sum of GEO(p)
large deviations, Hoeffding's inequality):
PDF (pages 25-32), exercise sheet: PDF
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- March 4 (Bernstein's inequality, Fatou's lemma proof,
dominated convergence theorem proof):
PDF (pages 32-38, In 2026, we skipped page
33-35 (Bernstein's ineq) )
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- March 11 (c.d.f. properties, weak convergence, max of i.i.d.
EXP(1), Gumbel, weak conv. of integer-valued r.v.'s):
PDF (pages 39-45, In 2026, we skipped the
proof of the claim stated on page 44
)
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- March 11 (BIN and POI, CLT for EXP(1), Stirling's formula,
Scheffe's lemma, Slutsky's theorem):
PDF (pages 46-52, In 2026, we skipped the
proof on page 52 (Slutsky's proof) )
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- March 18 (local CLT for BIN(n,1/2) implies global CLT, random
walk: reflection principle, limit thm for maximum and hitting time):
PDF (pages 53-60)
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- March 18 (First midterm practice):
Exercise sheet,
Solutions
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