Matehematics
A4 in English -
Probability Theory 2017 Spring
Andras Vetier
Requirements Interactive
Electonical Probability Text Book Suggested
textbooks
in probability ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Week 01: 2017-02-07___01_relfreq_prob.xlsx 2017-02-07___02_two_dice.xlsx 2017-02-07___03_two_dice_LESS_EXPERIMENTS.xlsx 2017-02-07___04_file_modification.xlsx 2017-02-08___01_distribution_of_the_number_of_boys_out_of_10_children.xlsx 2017-02-08___02_probability_of_an_interval.xlsx Homework: 1. Study
chapters 2, 3, 5 of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf 2. Solve the problem
given in file 2017-02-08___03_Home-work.xlsx a)
Construct - with Excel - a table and a figure for the
distribution of the number of men. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week 02: 2017-02-14___01_Bus_Metro.xlsx 2017-02-15___01_Bus_Metro_EVENT2.xlsx 2017-02-15___02_Bus_Metro_EVENT1__AND__EVENT2.xlsx 2017-02-15___03_Bus_Metro_EVENT1__OR__EVENT2.xlsx 2017-02-15___04_Bus_Metro_Vomplement_of_EVENT1.xlsx Homework: 1.
Study Chapters 2 - 8 of
Part-I until the bottom of page 24
from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I.pdf http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-I__PROBLEMS.pdf
37, 40, 41, ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week 03: 2017-02-21___01_Sick_if_diagnosed_sick.xlsx 2017-02-22___01_How_many_people_go_for_the_hike.xlsx 2017-02-22___02_Calc_prob-s_with_binomial_distribution.xlsx 2017-02-22___03_Extra_tickets_sold.xlsx 2017-02-22___03_Homework.xlsx 2017-02-22___04_HLOOKUP_command.xlsx 2017-02-22___10_How_many_people_go_for_the_hike_SIMULATED_USING_VLOOKUP_COMMAND.xlsx Homework: Study
Chapters 1-4 of Part-II from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week 04: 2017-02-28___02_First_success.xlsx 2017-02-28___03_Negative_binomial_distributions.xlsx 2017-02-28___04_limit_statement.xlsx 2017-03-01___01_Binom-Poisson.xlsx 2017-03-02___02_Expected_value.xlsx Homework: Study and learn Chapters
1-9 and 13-16 of
Part-II from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf Chapters 1-9
and 13-16 of http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II__PROBLEMS.pdf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week 05: 2017-03-07___01_Expected_value.xlsx 2017-03-07___02_Variance_and_standard_deviation_of_a_data-set.xlsx 2017-03-07___03_Variance_and_standard_deviation_of_a_random_variable.xlsx 2017-03-08___01_Binomial_random_variable.xlsx 2017-03-08___02_Binomial_random_variable.xlsx 2017-03-08___03_Arbitrary_distribution_on_0-1-2-3-4-5.xlsx 2017-03-08___04_Arbitrary_distribution_on_0-1-2-3-4-5.xlsx Homework: Study and
learn Chapters 16-18
of Part-II
from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-II.pdf Study
and learn
Chapter 19
of
Part-III
from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Midterm
Test1: 22
March,
Wednesday,
during our
lesson Midterm
Test2: 26
April,
Wednesday,
during our
lesson -
Problems to
solve
(students may
work with or
without Excel) On
our Tuesday lesson before the test, students - naturally - may ask
any questions.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week
08: 2017-03-28___02_NON_unformly_distributed.xlsx 2017-03-28___03_NON_unformly_distributed.xlsx 2017-03-28___04_Square_of_a_random_number.xlsx 2017-03-28___05_Max_of_3_random_numbers.xlsx 2017-03-28___06_Largest_of_10_random_numbers.xlsx 2017-03-28___07_Second_Largest_of_10_random_numbers.xlsx 2017-03-28___08_Third_Largest_of_10_random_numbers.xlsx Learn
Chapters 1, 2, 4, 6,
7, 10 from
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf Find
F(x) and f(x) of
the
Third_Largest_of_10_random_numbers
(Complete the
Excel file as
well). Solve it by
tomorrow. 2017-03-29___01_Random_number_unformly_distributed.xlsx 2017-03-29___02_Random_number_plus_a_constant.xlsx 2017-03-29___03_Random_number_multiplied_by_a_constant.xlsx 2017-03-29___04_Random_number_multiplied_by_a_constant_plus_another_constant.xlsx 2017-03-29___05_The_reciprocal_of_a
random_number.xlsx 2017-03-29___06_RND1_times_RND2.xlsx ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week
09: 2017-04-04___01_Expon_distr.xlsx 2017-04-05___01_Norm_distr.xlsx 2017-04-05___02_An_interpretation_of_the_CENTRAL_LIMIT_THEOREMS.xlsx 2017-04-05___03_Simulation_of_a_normally_distr_random_variable.xlsx Homework: Learn
Chapters 11,
13, 15, 16, 17
from
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Week
10: 2017-04-11___01_Properties_of_expected_value______ 2017-04-11___02_Twentyfive_bulbs_in_our_celler 2017-04-11___03_One-_two-_three-sigma_rules Homework: Learn
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-III.pdf Chapter
8 from
http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf Week 11: 2017-04-18___01_First_and_Last_arrival_times.xlsx 2017-04-18___02_two_bulbs.xlsx Homework: Learn
from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf
Chapter
1 pages 2-3
only 2017-04-19___01_First_and_Last_arrival_times.xlsx 2017-04-19___02_Secondt_and_Third_arrival_times.xlsx 2017-04-19___03_Secondt_and_Third_arrival_times_between_0_and_2.xlsx 2017-04-19___04_Coins_and_dice.xlsx Homework:
Homework: 2017-04-19___05_Homework.xlsx Week 12: 2017-04-25___01_Expected_value_of_the_product.xlsx 2017-04-25___02_Expected_values.xlsx 2017-04-25___03_Expected_values.xlsx 2017-04-25___04_POJECTIONS.xlsx ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Week
13: 2017-05-03___01_Height_Weight.xlsx 2017-05-03___02_HeightWeigh_EigenVect_Proj_CondDist.xlsx 2017-05-03___03_Calculating_conditional_EXPECTED_VALUES__PROBABILITIES.xlsx Homework: Learn from http://math.bme.hu/~vetier/df/Part-IV.pdf Chapter 1 pages 2-3 only
Chapter 2 2017-05-03___03_Calculating_conditional_EXPECTED_VALUES__PROBABILITIES.xlsx P( weight ) P( weight height P(
weight height P(
weight height P( weight height P( weight height P( weight height Exam_2017_05_10.pdf Exam_2017_05_10_Solutions.pdf
Exam
Total
Course
points
points
grade
AIQYYM
45
84
5
EUQQEM
33
76
4
FYURD8
55
92,5
5
GBBT8T
48
83
5
INSDJ9
36
75
4
O36694
42
86
5
V9PJ70
55
99
5
VDOFVV
26
63
3
XQ7L7J
40
69,5
3
Max
exam points: 6 x 2
x 5 = 60 Register,
please, for the
first exam in
Neptun, grade will be
written into
NeptunRepeated
test results:
rep test
rep test
1
2
IXU528
8
1
failed the course
HKTDIY
3
0
failed the course
ZZXBFX
17
gets signature
If you want, you
may see your
test: 12 May,
Friday 1pm,
H502 Monday, 10am E1B Monday, 10am E1B The first official exam date is May 22.
This is the date for which you may
register.
However, students may come on May
15
The Monday exam will start at 11am in
H601.
I hope this change is not a problem for
you.
In this case, send me an email to
vetier@math.bme.hu to let me know that you come on may
15.
May
15 Exam
results:
EXAM
TOTAL
EXAM
points
points
grade
EUQQEM
50
93
5
ZZXBFX
30
68
3
In order that the grades
could be written into Neptun,
----------------------------------------------------------------------